ENERGY-08 — Spikes and Crashes, Painful Drops! PLUG / AMPX / EOSE / NVX — Tracking the Opportunity. Why I'm Not Giving Up
2026-03-08- **Four energy/battery names tracked, mixed performance.** AMPX up 9% in a down market on Q4 beat. EOSE crashed -40-50% on production miss. PLUG up sharply on first-time positive gross margin. NVX dropping to all-time lows on customer order issues.
- **AMPX (Amprius):** Q4 revenue beat, EBITDA improving, **2026 GM target 25% (vs 11% in 2025), 2030 GM > 30%**. Strategic move — used Asian (Korean) partners for production while US capacity is in pain. Speaker now sees this as smart positioning. **Robot battery TAM CAGR 74% through 2030** (the biggest projected growth segment). EVTOL CAGR 40%. Speaker bullish, may have run too hot near term.
- **EOSE (Eos Energy):** Massive selloff on Q4 production miss — line was down 30% of the quarter (vs 10% planned). Only 1 production line; line 2 starting Q2 2026. **Backlog $230M (99 GW pipeline) up 30-40% QoQ. New customers: MN8 Energy (750 MW), Frontier Power (5 GW MOU).** Speaker thinks this is the typical US-manufacturing-pain pattern (one line, debugging while producing) — **dip is overdone**, will probably bounce.