LEU-05 — Stock Cut in Half. Capacity Bouncing All Over. How Will They Fulfill So Many Orders?
2026-02-13- **LEU stock cut in half** from $400+ peak to ~$185 after Q4 2025 earnings. PE ~47-50, technically reasonable for the growth profile but the stock is in a 2-cycle drawdown. Speaker is **holding the position** (entered earlier, not at the top), looking 5+ years out.
- **Q4 2025 results: revenue $146M (slight miss)**, earnings missed by more. Full-year revenue $448M. Production: **completed 1 ton of HALEU** (vs 900 kg target — exceeded). **Phase 3 production delayed to H2 2026.** Quarterly results are volatile because Russia uranium imports are unpredictable.
- **Order backlog: $2.3B (5x annual revenue) of LEU commercial orders**, plus 12 tons of HALEU on order (12x current annual production). DOE awarded **$900M for capacity expansion**. Plans for **commercial centrifuge manufacturing** restarting domestically (Honeywell partnership).